Our March 2025 stock and ETF watchlist with entry points, sector analysis, and market outlook.
Market Overview
Welcome back to The Wealth Catchers' watchlist. The month of February was a negative one across the board. We saw all the indices end in the red, with the Russell 2000 being hit the hardest. There's a lot of uncertainty flowing around the market as investors try to make sense of the Trump administration and its plans. The consumer is beginning to show weakness as they battle higher prices, especially eggs, and have shown that they are financing their lifestyle or using credit to make ends meet. Americans' household debt hit an all-time high of $18.04 trillion, while credit card debt is at a new high of $1.21 trillion. This is concerning because the consumer has often been mentioned as resilient over these past few months and has been a big reason why interest rate cuts have slowed. To pair with this massive amount of debt, we have also seen DOGE (Department of Government Efficiency) make sweeping cuts across the federal government. So far, at least 30,000 employees have been fired, and it is safe to say that we can expect that number to rise over the coming weeks and months. Apologies for the brevity of this opening statement. I had quite a busy month, and I wanted to make sure to get this out before the first trading day of March.
Closing Note
I appreciate you all checking in this month. Stay invested, stay positive. Also, here's your friendly reminder:
“The time to buy is when there's blood in the streets.”
Keep on buying assets and keep your money working.
Index Performance
| Index | Performance |
|---|---|
| Dow Jones (Feb 2025) | -1.31% |
| S&P 500 (Feb 2025) | -0.67% |
| NASDAQ (Feb 2025) | -2.81% |
| Russell 2000 (Feb 2025) | -4.22% |
| VIX | 19.63 |
| Fear & Greed | 20 (Extreme Fear) |
Top Sectors
Bottom Sectors
Stock Entry Points
| Ticker | Daily Entry | Weekly Entry |
|---|---|---|
| MSFT | $367–$405 | $312–$392 |
| AAPL | $219–$235 | $166–$203 |
| GOOGL | $148–$182 | $127–$155 |
| AMZN | $175–$217 | $154–$172 |
| META | $557–$624 | $329–$458 |
| NVDA | $121–$133 | $47–$89 |
| NFLX | $764–$922 | $505–$626 |
| WMT | $79–$93 | $55–$68 |
| V | $296–$328 | $238–$276 |
| JPM | $223–$250 | $158–$193 |
| COST | $886–$966 | $556–$750 |
| LLY | $815–$856 | $437–$717 |
| CRWD | $332–$370 | $217–$277 |
| PG | $168–$170 | $150–$161 |
ETF Entry Points
| Ticker | Daily Entry | Weekly Entry |
|---|---|---|
| VUG | $342–$408 | $290–$343 |
| VGT | $527–$613 | $427–$522 |
| VOO | $518–$544 | $410–$473 |
| SMH | $199–$246 | $152–$206 |
| QTUM | $68–$78 | $51–$61 |
Key Takeaways
- →S&P 500 worst Q1 since 2022 setting up — tariff concerns dominated February.
- →Magnificent Seven declined 16% YTD — dangerous concentration risk now visible.
- →Household debt $18.04 trillion, credit card debt $1.21 trillion — consumer stress building.
- →Defensive sectors led (Staples, Real Estate, Utilities) — market rotating toward safety.
- →Equal-weighted S&P (RSP) down just -1.14% vs. cap-weighted SPY down -4.55% — distribution is improving.
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