Our January 2025 stock and ETF watchlist with entry points, sector analysis, and market outlook.
The Monthly Watchlist: stocks and ETFs we're actively researching, with the levels we're watching as of January 1, 2025. Inclusion isn't a recommendation to buy, and this isn't personalized investment advice — your investment decisions remain your own.
Market Context: December 2024
December 2024 concluded with broad market weakness across most indices. The decline was attributed to Fed guidance suggesting only 1–2 rate cuts for 2025 and year-end profit-taking. Despite recent pullbacks, major indices hit all-time highs earlier in the month. Full-year 2024: Dow +12.88%, S&P 500 +23.31%, NASDAQ +28.64%, Russell 2000 +10.02%. For 2025 we expect slower gains (~10% S&P 500 target of 6,500), data-dependent Fed policy, and sector leadership shifting toward semiconductors, cybersecurity, quantum computing, and nuclear energy.
Index Performance
| Index | Performance |
|---|---|
| Dow Jones (Dec 2024) | -5.00% |
| S&P 500 (Dec 2024) | -2.74% |
| NASDAQ (Dec 2024) | -0.48% |
| Russell 2000 (Dec 2024) | -8.38% |
| S&P 500 (Full Year 2024) | +23.31% |
| NASDAQ (Full Year 2024) | +28.64% |
Top Sectors
- Communication Services+3.49%
- Consumer Discretionary+2.33%
- Information Technology+1.12%
Bottom Sectors
- Materials-10.91%
- Energy-9.56%
- Real Estate-9.15%
Stock Entry Points
| Ticker | Daily Entry | Weekly Entry | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| ABNB | $111–$142 | $104–$138 | |
| MSFT | $398–$426 | $300–$375 | |
| AAPL | $208–$232 | $158–$194 | |
| GOOGL | $164–$170 | $121–$145 | |
| AMZN | $185–$196 | $149–$157 | |
| NVDA | $108–$131 | $40–$76 | |
| TSLA | $231–$287 | $220–$242 | |
| META | $509–$568 | $306–$401 | |
| SHOP | $78–$89 | $69–$78 | |
| WMT | $71–$84 | $53–$62 | |
| V | $281–$292 | $230–$261 | |
| PG | $142–$150 | $147–$158 | |
| WM | $191–$213 | $158–$187 | |
| ADBE | $433–$526 | $417–$502 | |
| CRWD | $309–$317 | $201–$244 | |
| COST | $824–$914 | $520–$686 | |
| JPM | $206–$226 | $149–$178 | |
| NEE | $72–$79 | $71–$76 | |
| LLY | $727–$863 | $402–$654 | |
| TMO | $494–$572 | $521–$550 | |
| ADP | $262–$288 | $217–$247 | |
| SHW | $338–$371 | $269–$298 | |
| RTX | $108–$121 | $89–$100 | |
| CMG | $57–$60 | $37–$49 | |
| WING | $281–$370 | $191–$278 | |
| DKNG | $39–$40 | $32–$34 |
ETF Entry Points
Key Takeaways
- Full-year 2024: S&P +23.31%, NASDAQ +28.64%. December gave back some gains on Fed hawkishness.
- For 2025: expect slower gains (~10%), data-dependent Fed, only 1–2 rate cuts projected.
- DeepSeek disrupted AI hyperscaler confidence in January — watch capex spending carefully.
- Trump tariffs: 25% on Canada/Mexico, 10% on China. Consumer cost pass-through expected.
- Semiconductors, cybersecurity, quantum (QTUM), nuclear energy expected to lead quietly in 2025.
- IIPR removed from watchlist after -34.14% in 2024.
Timothy Monecla is the founder of The Wealth Catchers and a long-term investor focused on U.S. equity markets and generational wealth building. He created this platform to give everyday people the investing foundation they were never taught — through clear, data-backed education and no-hype guidance.
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